COVID-19

KNOWLEDGE

Articles & insights (Work-in-Progress)

All Posts
COVID-19

Jul 9
2 min

C-19: Brief US country and market update

In this brief article we update our views on the COVID-19 developments in the US, particularly from an economic impact perspective (previ...

31 views

Jun 24
11 min

C-19: Why is case growth now outstripping deaths? A crucial debate with the aid of data

Those following our research thus far should be familiar with our fondness for using mobility statistics as an input to modelling the spr...

50 views

Jun 22
10 min

C-19: Where is the economy headed? Studying the role of small businesses in the recovery

There have been several initiatives in the US around collating relevant and critical social, economic and healthcare data to help stakeho...

32 views

Jun 7
6 min

C-19: The rocky road to economic recovery. How bad is it? Which sectors will gain, which will lose?

In a previous article we mooted the idea that the capital markets have been a relatively poor indicator of economic recovery around COVID...

49 views

Jun 6
10 min

C-19: A humble plea to the scientific community to keep the forecasting science relevant

There is now a critical need for a step-shift improvement in data visualisation tools and modelling science around the COVID-19 pandemic....

36 views

Jun 3
11 min

C-19: Why most economic projections have likely got it wrong

An understanding of how the economy has performed during the period of lockdown has only just been made clear, with company quarterly rep...

58 views

Jun 2
9 min

C-19: Why some countries are likely to stay in crisis for some time

With lockdown measures starting to be moderated, the first phase of the pandemic outbreak: initial wave of infections (and deaths), has n...

49 views

May 20
7 min

C-19: Populations are resilient - we are learning to adapt to the situation

As more economies reopen, having withstood the last 2-3 months of physical distancing and lockdowns, most of us are expecting new outbrea...

11 views

May 11
4 min

C-19: Comparing 'exit strategy' archetypes between countries

The COVID-19 pandemic has now reached its fifth month since the initial outbreak in Wuhan, China. Tracking the progression of spread thro...

31 views

May 4
11 min

C-19: Rushing to open the economy may cause more harm than good unless well thought through

As the month of May greets us, many countries have already begun early actions to reopen their economies post stringent lock-downs endure...

32 views

May 1
8 min

C-19: Importance of testing at speed

We utilise a cross correlation method to gauge a more robust estimate of test delays and timeliness of death reporting from country to co...

21 views

Apr 29
7 min

C-19: Estimating epidemiological characteristics of the disease

The novel nature of the virus SARS-nCoV-2 and its associated disease, COVID-19, mean that the full epidemiological characteristics for th...

30 views

Apr 28
3 min

C-19: A likely candidate for an exit strategy

In this article we attempt to directly address 3 major questions (for the case of Malaysia); (A) Crudely speaking, how could we go about ...

20 views

Apr 25
10 min

C-19: How transmission changes under shifts in mobility: country comparisons

In this analysis, we utilise mobility data from a range of countries, specifically the onset of reduced mobilities from movement controls...

51 views

Apr 23
12 min

C-19: How best to moderate movement controls?

The data provided by Google and Apple for the purposes of tracking changes in mobility during this COVID-19 crisis have been useful to ga...

20 views

Apr 19
11 min

C-19: Taking stock + exploring ideas to overcome the pandemic

Introduction: an abridged and simplified chronology of events The following narrative reflects on much of the insights that we have learn...

16 views

Apr 16
9 min

C-19: More on lock-downs (Part II)

This article is Part II of a previous article published on the subject of lock-downs due to COVID-19. We further explore data from Apple...

32 views

Apr 14
8 min

C-19: So, which countries are really locking down their populations?

There is much debate across countries as to the right strategy to stop the spread of COVID-19. While Italy, Spain and UK have almost full...

46 views

Apr 14
9 min

C-19: Predictive modelling to better understand (and overcome) this pandemic

In a previous article here we explored how COVID-19 testing may unknowingly provide a misguided and underestimated view of how the virus ...

43 views

Apr 13
4 min

C-19: Online awareness leading up to the pandemic

As we continue to analyse the spread of COVID-19 across different countries, we have noticed a widely varying impact from country to coun...

28 views

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